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来源:百度知道 编辑:UC知道 时间:2024/05/26 17:51:08
The sharp increase in crude oil and petroleum product prices since the spring of 1999 have had little impact on the national and Michigan economies. After falling to about $10 a barrel a year ago, crude oil prices reached $30 a barrel in January and February 2000. During the four years of the 1979-1982 recession, the average cost of crude oil was more than $28 a barrel, and the impact of high oil prices had a devastating impact, triggering the worse recession since the Great Depression. Analysis suggests:

Economy-wide expenditures for petroleum are currently three to four times smaller than in 1979-1982. Efficiency improvements, switching to other fuels, and much lower inflation-adjusted petroleum prices all contribute to less utilization of petroleum in the U.S. and Michigan economies.
The momentum of the economic expansion appears to be sufficiently larger so as to override any impact of the oil price increases seen to date. However, if crude oil prices remain at or

在1999的春天,原油和石油产品价格的猛增是对国民经济的一次重大冲击。 在下落关于$10每桶的前一年,原油价格到达了$30桶于在2000年1月和2月。 在1979-1982后退的四年期间,原油的平均代价是超过$28每桶,并且高油价的冲击有一个破坏性碰撞,触发更坏的经济后退和大萧条。 分析建议:
1979-1982经济范围内的石油开支为当前的三到四倍。 对石油较少运用的美国通过效率的改善来交换对其他燃料,和降低通货膨胀被调整的石油价格, 并且以此影响经济。
经济扩张的动力充足地增大以便忽略延续至今的油价增高所带来的的所有冲击。 然而,如果原油价格依然是在或在$30之上每桶,也许会减慢一些潜在的经济扩张。 以应对经济的关心过度加热,所有减速也许实际上是对减少通货膨胀的压力有用。
在美国,当涨价的冲击加大。 并且影响经济,那么对低收入家庭的影响是重大的,特别是对于那些使用燃料油或丙烷的家庭。
来自美国1979-1983的经验