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来源:百度知道 编辑:UC知道 时间:2024/05/06 19:00:07
Investment spending, unlike consumption spending, is driven by expectations of future profits. Since profits are equal to revenue minus costs, expected profits are equal to expected revenue minus expected costs. Most capitalists can make a reasonable forecast of the expected costs of a potential investment project. But their forecasts of expected revenue are based on much more variable and fundamentally subjective judgments.
If revenue forecasts are volatile and subjective, then the overall level of investment spending must be volatile as well. In Keynes' analysis, the cause of economic downturns was rooted in "the uncontrollable and disobedient psychology of the business world."

不像消费开支的投资开支被将来利润的期待驱使。 因为利润减费用和收入相等,预期的利润和预期的收入减的预期费用相等。 大多数的资本家能用潜在投资计画做成预期费用的一个合理预测。 但是他们的预期收入的预测以更加可变和基本上主观的裁判为基础。
如果收入预测是挥发性而主观的, 那么全部程度的投资开支一定是挥发性也。 在 Keynes' 分析,经济低迷时期的因素被在 " 商务世界的无法控制而不服从心理学 " 植根。